Grade 12 Mathematics
Grade 12 · Term 3Mathematics

Statistics

We study the normal distribution, z-scores, and apply regression and correlation to real data in final-preparation contexts.

Week 5

9.1 Normal Distribution & Regression

  • Understand the shape and properties of the normal distribution
  • Calculate and interpret z-scores
  • Use the 68-95-99.7 rule for normal distributions
  • Apply regression and correlation for data analysis and prediction
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Real-World Connection

Test scores, heights, and manufacturing tolerances all follow an approximate normal distribution. Quality control engineers use the 68-95-99.7 rule: 95% of products within 2σ of the mean are acceptable; those outside are defects.

Property / Rule

Normal Distribution Properties

Bell-shaped, symmetric about the mean μ\mu. Mean = Median = Mode. Area under the curve = 1 (total probability). Characterised by μ\mu and σ\sigma.

XN(μ,σ2)X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2)

z-score

z=xμσz = \frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}

$x$ = data value; $\mu$ = mean; $\sigma$ = standard deviation; $z$ = number of standard deviations from mean

Property / Rule

68-95-99.7 Rule (Empirical Rule)

For a normal distribution: approximately 68% of data within 1σ of mean; 95% within 2σ; 99.7% within 3σ.

P(μσ<X<μ+σ)0.68P(\mu-\sigma<X<\mu+\sigma)\approx0.68

ℹ️ Note

A z-score of z=2z=2 means the value is 2 standard deviations above the mean. A negative z-score means the value is below the mean. Comparing z-scores from different distributions allows fair comparison.

Worked Examples

Worked Example

z-score and normal distribution

Problem

Exam scores are normally distributed with μ=65\mu=65 and σ=12\sigma=12. Find the percentage of students who scored between 41 and 89.
Activity — 8 Questions

CAPS Cognitive Level Distribution

L1 · Knowledge2 Q
L2 · Routine Procedures2 Q
L3 · Complex Procedures2 Q
L4 · Problem Solving2 Q
1
L1 · Knowledge3 marks
Heights are distributed N(170,49)N(170, 49) (mean=170, σ2=49\sigma^2=49). Find P(163<X<177)P(163<X<177).
2
L1 · Knowledge1 mark
A data value has z=1.5z=-1.5. Is it above or below the mean?
3
L2 · Routine Procedures3 marks
N(50,100)N(50, 100): find the percentage of data between 30 and 70.
4
L2 · Routine Procedures4 marks
Student A scores 72 in a class with μ=65\mu=65, σ=8\sigma=8. Student B scores 80 in a class with μ=70\mu=70, σ=15\sigma=15. Who performed relatively better?
5
L3 · Complex Procedures4 marks
A factory produces bolts with diameter N(20 mm,0.04)N(20\text{ mm}, 0.04) (σ=0.2\sigma=0.2 mm). Bolts are accepted if diameter is between 19.6 and 20.4 mm. What percentage is rejected?
6
L3 · Complex Procedures4 marks
Data: (1,3),(2,5),(3,6),(4,9),(5,11)(1,3),(2,5),(3,6),(4,9),(5,11). Calculate xˉ\bar{x}, yˉ\bar{y}, and describe the relationship.
7
L4 · Problem Solving4 marks
For the data in activity 6, the regression line is y^=1.9x+1.1\hat{y}=1.9x+1.1. Predict yy when x=7x=7 and comment.
8
L4 · Problem Solving4 marks
Describe, with examples, the difference between correlation and causation.
Statistics Grade 12 Maths CAPS Notes & Examples | MathSciBuddy